Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.232247 0.268289 0.309340 0.359825 0.420600 0.491859 0.582400
2025-09-07 0.178788 0.225652 0.285168 0.367482 0.480267 0.632225 0.857425
2025-09-14 0.143484 0.192393 0.259389 0.360226 0.512412 0.740854 1.124673
2025-09-21 0.123111 0.173128 0.245908 0.363303 0.555510 0.872474 1.469156
2025-09-28 0.107469 0.157056 0.232850 0.362373 0.589704 0.996872 1.846989
2025-10-05 0.097831 0.148042 0.228331 0.373123 0.644664 1.171944 2.394536
2025-10-12 0.089530 0.139653 0.223036 0.380811 0.695109 1.353229 3.041823
2025-10-19 0.082465 0.132157 0.217816 0.387160 0.743962 1.546656 3.821741
2025-10-26 0.077232 0.126986 0.215714 0.398743 0.806316 1.792080 4.891798
2025-11-02 0.071698 0.120524 0.210202 0.402241 0.851572 2.012704 6.040251
2025-11-09 0.066531 0.114073 0.203746 0.402429 0.889083 2.227746 7.336740
2025-11-16 0.061637 0.107560 0.196261 0.398940 0.916662 2.426394 8.743779
2025-11-23 0.056860 0.100857 0.187741 0.392109 0.935454 2.612271 10.305180
2025-11-30 0.054148 0.097896 0.186562 0.402418 1.004591 2.996706 13.267772
2025-12-07 0.050201 0.092057 0.178552 0.394667 1.020178 3.204841 15.581793
2025-12-14 0.047555 0.088587 0.175241 0.398171 1.071055 3.573825 19.449663
2025-12-21 0.044836 0.084695 0.170508 0.397145 1.107799 3.909688 23.718446
2025-12-28 0.043249 0.083027 0.170609 0.409159 1.191905 4.504470 31.360843
2026-01-04 0.041559 0.080966 0.169535 0.417755 1.267680 5.117271 40.915098
2026-01-11 0.039907 0.078830 0.168021 0.424856 1.341111 5.777762 53.276612
2026-01-18 0.038692 0.077548 0.168429 0.437818 1.442457 6.679792 72.695734
2026-01-25 0.037090 0.075243 0.166018 0.441734 1.509659 7.447145 94.352228
2026-02-01 0.035431 0.072659 0.162612 0.441945 1.562134 8.176884 120.247465